Oil's war on Iraq?

If the intervention in Iraq really a "war for oil", then a part of the war more positive effects seen in Baghdad last week. Oil from the country Hussain al-Shahristani Minister, leader of the auction, the development rights for seven large oil fields in a tender under various international consortia. Three features of the results is remarkable. The auction for the service contract when the production-sharing agreement the advantage that large companies awarded. This price is set at between $ 1.15 and $ 1.90 per barrel to $ 4 suggested that the bidder initially comply. And American companies are generally not the winner of the auction in the consortium identified himself to do with Malaysia, Russia, Angola, and also their best. (Exxon Mobil and Occidental in previous negotiations, was given a contact at the Iraqi oil fields, other.)

So, vulgar and hysterical part of the "war for oil" discredited interpretation: the independence of Iraq to the people outside of the building away from overstated, and there is no real correlation between the U.S. interests and results. Besides that we have a very serious interest in the success of these efforts expression. If the restoration of Iraqi oil fields, and even if production continued to increase, the state will begin buyback had gone mad under the regime of Saddam Hussein, the price of oil infrastructure and then left with the lowered results. The current production is around 2.5 million barrels per day, which can be based on current projections, increased to 7 million barrels within a relatively short time and that Shahristani, perhaps optimistic, believes may be based on 12 million barrels per days in 2016 years to rise. The potential for recovery is certainly there. Iraq has executed, the third largest proven reserves in the world at 115 billion barrels, and new exploration, since the removal of Saddam Hussein and the lifting of sanctions, that even this figure may be low in the.
Does this mean that Iraq will soon compete with the production of Saudi Arabia and Iran. This is what many are used by us in the regime-change camp to show: a big, beautiful price of a democratic and federal Iraq, which lies between the two parasites in a position to challenge duopoly theocracies and their oil.

If you do two things in mind to understand, even for something more. Exceptional cruelty and brutality of the "uprising", the continued daily killing of Iraqis in the country, not patrolled by the United States is the size of the mercenaries and the reactionary movement financed from abroad. Killer Sunni Al-Qaeda in Mesopotamia interesting about the sources of aid from Saudi Arabia, while Shiite groups a share of the shadow of the so-called paramilitary Revolutionary Guards and other elements of the Iranian dictatorship. Those who shed blood for oil, and efforts to restore a country that their patrons can occur in more than one way to influence the problem. Syrian regime, with the same obvious reasons, some arms and money, and the gangsters, maybe a special sympathy for the former Baath party.
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I would say that it is far more important to pretend Iraq in overcoming its most prominent religious and political criminals in the country for global economic health and that Pakistan is our friend in the area is dominated by rocks, cliffs, and poppy fields. But perhaps the lessons of Iraq is to help the gene. Stanley McChrystal David Petraeus and the new task in this case, terrorism in Iraq experience has also proven very valuable.

Dimension of interest to the realities of oily internal situation in Iraq. If you remember two years ago, the media consensus that Iraq was destined for a civil war, unless they already live together. Well, despite some terrible provocation and retaliation, because it has not happened. One possible reason is to work, the incentive to revive the national prosperity again. The last time I was in Baghdad, I stayed in the house of a Kurdish member of the Government of hard-man who has spent his life fighting for years for at least an autonomous Kurdistan in Iraq. "But now I am sitting on the budget committee," he told me, 'and I see how this country is very rich. I told my friends at home in the north: the not to run this department. "

A version of the same remark may also apply in the Anbar province, where new discoveries are important oil and gas have been made since the liberation. There are areas in the vicinity of Baghdad and stretching west across the country, almost all the way to the Syrian border. The problem is often used in the sectarian sense, this means that the main deposits in Sunni Arab areas are located. (For more information about this topic, see the report James Glanz in The New York Times on February 19, 2007.) During the period of dictatorship and brutal aggression to pursue Saddam Hussein, the Sunni minority, the minorities in Tikrit despotism of the majority Shia and the Kurds, especially since in the basement, the head of state funds. Now, fat, however, a basic petrochemical federalism federalism is defined not by religion or ethnic origin, but by the provinces and regions. (For an excellent guide constitutional implications, see Brendan O'Leary's book How to integrity of Iraq.)

The argument for a regime change in Iraq are still stuck in the claims about weapons of mass destruction and other disputes. But to an important and extensive selection, and always is this: Iraq could have a future, stand where their children skip school to watch over tribalism barricades of burning tires, and all the militia system and cross-border interference resolved libel. Iraq slowly or the nationality of the federal structure that allows for extensive decentralization and electoral solution to the differences and the court, with the revival of the economy, which in turn make every citizen of his rich neighbor Kuwait and a former victim be rebuilt. Win or lose, that's the best he could offer Iraqis, and it was the elderly, but fear still dangerous side oligarchy. There is obviously something that is worth arguing about and fighting for pay.